live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Virginia Tech

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:89.0
Current RPI:89
Expected SOS:53
Current Record:19-14
Expected Record:19-14
Current Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-1
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:208
Expected OOC SOS:273



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1457.58%89.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Virginia Tech.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Alabama St. (265.0)SWACH82-85L0%0.0
11-18Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCH71-62W100%0.0
11-21VMI (316.0)SCH76-52W100%0.0
11-24North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACH90-60W100%0.0
11-27Iowa St. (23.0)B12N99-77L0%0.0
11-28UAB (88.0)CUSAN77-82W100%0.0
12-1Northwestern (115.0)B10H79-81L0%0.0
12-5Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACH80-45W100%0.0
12-9Radford (192.0)BSthA65-74W100%0.0
12-13Lamar (337.0)SlndH88-53W100%0.0
12-19Grambling St. (350.0)SWACH87-52W100%0.0
12-22Saint Joseph's (22.0)A10N62-79L0%0.0
12-30West Virginia (10.0)B12H63-88L0%0.0
1-2North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCH73-68W100%0.0
1-4Virginia (3.0)ACCH70-68W100%0.0
1-9Duke (20.0)ACCA82-58L0%0.0
1-13Wake Forest (159.0)ACCH93-91W100%0.0
1-16Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCA77-78W100%0.0
1-20Notre Dame (31.0)ACCA83-81L0%0.0
1-24North Carolina (5.0)ACCH70-75L0%0.0
1-27Louisville (17.0)ACCH83-91L0%0.0
1-31Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCA90-71L0%0.0
2-2Syracuse (72.0)ACCA68-60L0%0.0
2-6Clemson (131.0)ACCH60-57W100%0.0
2-9Virginia (3.0)ACCA67-49L0%0.0
2-17Miami FL (9.0)ACCA65-49L0%0.0
2-20Florida St. (82.0)ACCH83-73W100%0.0
2-23Boston College (250.0)ACCA56-71W100%0.0
2-28Wake Forest (159.0)ACCA74-81W100%0.0
3-2Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCH65-61W100%0.0
3-5Miami FL (9.0)ACCH77-62W100%0.0
3-9Florida St. (82.0)ACCN96-85W100%0.0
3-10Miami FL (9.0)ACCN88-82L0%0.0